Recently, RedState decided to dis-invite Donald Trump to an event in Atlanta. Normally I appreciate Eric Erikson’s positions, but I think this was a really dumb move. Donald Trump is not going to just fade away with a whimper. He’s the sort to go out with a bang. In this case the bang could be a third party run that destroys any chance of a Republican defeating Hillary Clinton in 2016. RedState is not the GOP establishment, and it can be argued that neither is Fox News. But Trump’s not going to see it that way. That’s reality.
Read more here.
I won't debate whether or not it was wise to disinvite Trump. However, I will note Trump's response: To call Erickson a "loser". The pattern is consistent. If you disagree with Trump, or do something he doesn't like, you're 'fat', or 'on the rag' or 'stupid' or a 'loser'. Trumps is IMHO a loose cannon.
ReplyDeleteThat's my point Mike/Proof (BTW which do you prefer?); Give Trump enough of a platform, and he'll bring the rope and hang himself. More visibility on Trump will help him reveal himself as definitely-not-the-guy.
Delete…Or alternately, cause him to smarten up. That's a lot less likely. But either outcome is better than spitting back in his face and forcing his hand on the third party option. That's the worst case scenario.
DeleteMore people know me as Proof, but I'm transitioning over to my real name. Either one works for me! Call me anything but late for dinner!
DeleteI'm afraid the Donald will go 3rd party no matter how many kid gloves we use. He hasn't got what it takes to become the nominee.
Dean L.,
ReplyDeleteI have heard several times, (whenever a Presidential election approaches), that if any third-party candidate shows enough popularity, that that will destroy the GOP's chance of having their candidate win. (In full disclosure, I am a registered conservative indie with libertarian and small "r" republican ideals)
My query would be: if the GOP puts forth a strong enough candidate, why does any third-party non-Democrat candidate(s) matter? What votes can be taken from a strong GOP candidate by any third-party person?
I am hoping you can elaborate on this for me, because it merely comes across like sour grapes whenever I read or hear someone lamenting a third-party person who threatens the GOP mainline.
Thank you, my sir, in advance for a thoughtful and reasoned response. đ
Dean can reply at his leisure. Typically a third party, nominally Republican/ conservative splits the conservative vote. Unlike liberals who will often coalesce around a candidate for the sake of gaining or retaining power, conservatives will too often split their votes or sit the election out on principle, as happened in 2012 with Mitt Romney.
DeleteThanks for the question, unapologeticprophet. I probably owe you a longer, more detailed response but I've been short on time lately. For now, as close to point form as I can muster:
Delete1. A not strong enough Republican candidate is all but assured. Since Reagan, there's been Bush Sr., Bob Dole, Bush Jr., McCain and Romney. None of them were strong enough candidates. Both Bush's won not because of their own doing, the rest were dreck, to put it mildly.
2. the media will turn on Trump as a viable option as soon as a third party run becomes the case, just like their 'love' for McCain suddenly disappeared when he was the GOP nominee. Like it or not, the media does influence a lot of low information voters.
3. I too would consider myself a conservative (with some libertarian ideals). I have no love for the GOP as it looks today. There are some good people in the party but not enough of them. Too many establishment, crony capitalism sellouts. Having said all that, Trump would not take votes from Hillary, just from the GOP candidate. Unlike some pundits and readers, I believe that no matter how diluted a Republican candidate might be, they are more desirable than a Democrat, particularly a progressive liberal in moderate's clothing. Why? They are beholden in some small part to conservatives, rather than unions, socialists, environmentalists, etc. And while a liberal will continue to cause further damage to an already weakened America, even a RINO will have the potential to hold the line. Not ideal, but preferable to the alternative.
It's not about the GOP ultimately, it's about the country.
Sorry that's it for now, when I have time, perhaps I can write a post about it with a more detailed answer.
Dean L, thank you for your response, even if you believed it wasn't detailed enough. I still appreciated it.
ReplyDeleteYou wrote: "Unlike some pundits and readers, I believe that no matter how diluted a Republican candidate might be, they are more desirable than a Democrat, particularly a progressive liberal in moderate's clothing. Why? They are beholden in some small part to conservatives, rather than unions, socialists, environmentalists, etc. And while a liberal will continue to cause further damage to an already weakened America, even a RINO will have the potential to hold the line. Not ideal, but preferable to the alternative."
I would applaud such sentiment if the GOP as we both see it has shown any loyalty to anything conservative. I do not believe for one second that the GOP is beholden to conservative Americans. At all.
I'm saddened to see you would accept the lesser of the two evils so readily, because as you know, voting for the lesser is still voting for evil. This is why, for myself, I particularly like the ideal of a third-party, because I simply do not have it in me to acquiesce to anything or anyone out of sheer frustration or resignation. In simpler terms, I refuse to give my vote to the GOP under any circumstances. I am a Combat Vet who has earned the right to keep my vote, (11B — 1986 to 2006), and the days of me holding my nose to give said vote away every four years on the milquetoast candidates the GOP gives America are very, very over for me.
However, my beliefs are mine, and in no way meant to be seen as a personal attack on you or your beliefs. Again thank you 9sincerely) for your response. You did so without resorting to snark or passive-aggressive foolishness. That spoke volumes, my sir.
Likewise I respect your thoughtful responses and arguments unapologeticprophet. Reasoned discourse is always worthwhile, and disagreement even if passionate, can always be done in a respectful way – even with progressive liberals (not referring to you) who may not return the respectful manner of dialogue. Let me also add my gratitude for your service to your country (even though I'm Canadian, I have an American heart). Your nation has served liberty around the world, not just at home. Know that many people do realize that, even outside of America.
DeleteWith respect to your point about GOP loyalty to conservatism, I have two considerations: (1) some within the GOP actually are conservative, and do serve those ideals, they deserve our support and (2) as an example, while Obama is likely to ultimately approve the Keystone pipeline, a Mitt Romney probably would have done so by day 100. There is a difference. And where no amount of conservative pressure will move Obama or a Hillary Clinton, George W. Bush did reverse his decision on Harriet Myers and appointed what was perceived to be a solid conservative justice in Roberts. Okay weak example, but the intention was there. I say somewhat beholden.
My issue with voting third party is that purity while always well-intentioned, can lead to ruin. For over a decade in Canada liberals and socialists ran wild as the conservative vote was split between the equivalent of the GOP and Tea Party parties. It wasn't until they joined forces that we were able to start rolling back the horrible policies. I don't see it as compromise but rather a necessary tactic at times. The GOP can be pushed in the right direction, from within. The Democrats will never be pushed in that direction unless they are pushed from power for long enough. My 2 cents.
You definitely have my respect and I can see your points. I believe we want the same goals, we just disagree on how to get there. Thank you again for your thoughtful, reasoned comments.
Dean L., I saw this on Breitbart, as a comment to an article about Trump, and I copied it to paste here because it really nails what so many of us are thinking right now. I wanted to share it with you here for your response/confirmation/rejection. Thanks! Comment follows below. And no, I am not "El Derecho".
ReplyDelete—————————————————-
El Derecho • 5 minutes ago
It's really quite simple: Trump's success is derived from the fact that he is viewed as the anti-politician.
Even dyed-in-wool conservatives are willing to overlook Trump's shaky conservative credentials. Why? Because we are tired of politicians who campaign as Cobservatives and then govern as moderates or even as progressives. We are tired of the go-along-to-get along milquetoasts in the Republican Party who don't have the spine to fight, even when they are being spat upon by the most radical anti-American president in our history. We in the grassroots are tired of working our butts off to put Republicans in power, only to be abandoned, mo led and ridiculed by those very same Republican politicians.
So yeah Ben, we hear what you're saying; Trump is not a model Conservative. But he is s fighter, and, mire importantly, he is not a politician. Yes, he is a bull in a China shop, and that's exactly what we need right now. as long as Trump continues to wage a GFY campaign, untainted by hack advisors from inside the beltway, the more his support will continue to grow.
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There is merit in that argument. Conservatives should proudly fight for their beliefs. They should not be afraid to articulate and EXPLAIN the rationale behind their positions. The GOP has far too often lacked that quality. Trump does embody that fight, and certainly much (not all) of what he states has a visceral appeal to conservatives.
DeleteConversely, what is lacking so far at least visibly, is detail and a command of the issues. It may be there, it has not yet been displayed by Trump. Whether that balance matters enough to enough voters will be seen in time, just as whether his combativeness is seen to cross a line at some point. The same can be said for his conservative bona fides.
For me it's not about Trump specifically, it's about nominating the most conservative, electable candidate. The GOP is responsible for providing conservatives with both in its candidates. They err on the side of electable time and again, not realizing that frequently true conservatism does mean more electable. But while it's a very sad state that the GOP establishment doesn't realize that, it's equally sad that conservative voters are willing to settle for just fight without conservative substance. To be fair, it's too early to tell on Trump. I'm not convinced he's the answer, but I'm not yet convinced he's not.
Dean L.,
DeleteYou said: "I'm not convinced he's the answer, but I'm not yet convinced he's not." — And there is where I am, as well. I'm totally not prepared to dismiss Trump, and totally not prepared to fully back him.
I understand your mindset, thanks to your explanation using small words (I'm apparently an idiot), and while I do not endorse it, it did give me pause to consider. Nicely done, sir. You did say it was about nominating the most conservative, electable candidate. At this point in the game (I loathe calling it as such, but politics has caused governance to become a petty game of trifling rhetoric), I am prepared to streamline my conservative/libertarian ideals around a candidate who matters to me. I am 110% pro-Life, but Trump, for example only, has said he would allow abortion for rape, incest. I disagree. But would my disagreement be enough to prohibit me from voting for Trump? Does his disagreement with me mean I dismiss him outright? No. I cannot be a "one-issue voter" any longer.
With Carson, he and I do not see eye-to-eye totally on legal gun ownership. Does this mean I dismiss him? Nope. (You get my drift, I'm sure)
The thing I have been keeping in mind is that no President can take office and then the next day just sit down and make new laws on the White House stationary to give to Congress (or not, ala Obama). There is yet separation of powers in this Nation. At least, I think there is….
Anyhoos, your responses have been pleasant and detailed, and a pleasure to read. Do we agree? Nah. But it's okay, right? You are a conservative. I'm a conservative. And the rest is just details. đ
Btw, thank you for acknowledging my military service, even if you are a filthy Canadian. Take off, hoser. (I keed, I keed!)
It's healthy to have disagreement among conservatives. It makes us unlike lockstep Democrats who don't bother to think for themselves. That's dangerous. That was probably the most pleasant debate I've had to date. Very appropriate for a Canadian sensibility đ
DeleteDean L., I tried several times to post a comment over at your own blog, but to no avail. Argh!
ReplyDeleteI basically was expressing gratitude for such a good talk. No biggie. Catch ya later, my sir!