By Sam Foster
I've noticed that these posts seem to generate a lot of comments and while I've explained why, I've decided to do a daily Herman Cain story; I did not explain where I'm coming from.
I have absolutely no attachment to any candidate, that includes Herman Cain; not yet anyways. I do however see that he has the potential to be a major player and at least for the moment, there is a lot of interest in him. Since the purpose of a blog is to add information, what better than to post on the hottest Republican Presidential candidate?
So, feel free to criticize Cain, adore Cain or ignore Cain. If you have issues with Cain, especially if you are libertarian, I will probably cover some of it. The purpose of these posts is to inform on the less known, Herman Cain.
It's a long campaign and I'm not about to cast lots anytime soon.
Now that you know where I'm coming from, today's video comes from yesterday's Iowa trip. The Iowa Independent talked a bit about race:
"...content of ideas and character. That's what the story's gonna be about."
RedState had an interesting take on what a Herman Cain candidacy could do:
In 2008, the black vote was 13% of the electorate, and 96% of them voted for Obama. It was a major component of Obama’s victory. Political analysts have already begun to ask if they would turn out again at the same rate in 2012? The newness factor is now gone. Cain could impact this in two ways.
Historically, about 85-90% of the black vote has gone to the Democratic nominee. If we assume that Cain could return the black vote to that level, then we’ve already made headway. If he could peel away another 5-10% of the black vote, because of the issues, then that’s a very serious sea change. Cain might also inadvertently depress the overall black turnout, as some black voters for whom race is the key criteria, might well stay at home. All of which is very good for the GOP.
Consider that in 2008, three states, Florida, North Carolina, and Indiana, were all decided by a few percentage points. The parameters of the change in the black vote alluded to above, ALONE would have given those states to the GOP. And these same factors would effect many statewide contests in 2012.
Call me a pessimist, but I have serious doubts.
Obama's approval has stayed above 40% largely on overwhelming black support. There needs to be an event that causes people to switch over, simply having another black man in the race is not going to be that catalyst.
However, you'll note a stark contrast to Obama and Cain's approach to race and Cain's approach has far more reaching and lasting appeal.
Need more Cain Candy:
CBS News: How Herman Cain won the GOP debate and won over the online community
NewsMax: Gallup: Cain lags on name recognition; but he's liked
The Washington Examiner: Herman Cain sounds off on race, a debate win, and the need to simplify government