By Sam Foster
2008 – Record heat weather patterns equals "Oh my, the world's on fire!"
2009 – Record cold weather patterns "no individual episode of severe weather can be attributed to global climate trends"
2010 – Record cold weather patterns "Oh my, the world's on fire!"
You will notice that the 2009 winter brought out a very different narrative than the other two periods, thus leading one to ask, "why the difference Sam?"
To which I respond, in 2009 global warming alarmists hadn't thought up a way to blame global warming yet. However, George Monbiot believes he has it figured out, which means that blaming individual weather events is back en vogue:
The global temperature maps published by Nasa present a striking picture. Last month's shows a deep blue splodge over Iceland, Spitsbergen, Scandanavia and the UK, and another over the western US and eastern Pacific. Temperatures in these regions were between 0.5C and 4C colder than the November average from 1951 and 1980. But on either side of these cool blue pools are raging fires of orange, red and maroon: the temperatures in western Greenland, northern Canada and Siberia were between 2C and 10C higher than usual. Nasa's Arctic oscillations map for 3-10 December shows that parts of Baffin Island and central Greenland were 15C warmer than the average for 2002-9. There was a similar pattern last winter. These anomalies appear to be connected.
Daniel Hannan summed it up best:
For all I know, Monbiot may be right. It just seems remarkably convenient that any climatic trend is the fault of greenhouse gases . Getting hotter? Global warming! Getting cooler? Global warming! Average overcast October day? Gaea is on her last legs!
It's almost like reading Orwell's Animal Farm, where one day "all animals are equal" and the next "all animals are equal but some are more equal than others." The only difference would be that Monbiot is far less convincing than the fictional pig squealer.
According to Monbiot:
A link between summer sea ice in the Arctic and winter temperatures in the northern hemisphere was first proposed in 1914.
Strange…was the world on the verge of a global warming apocalypse in 1914? Oops, I guess this kind of UK super freeze has happened before…naturally…eh? Only Monbiot forgot to explain what caused the lapse in arctic ice at the turn of the 21 century. I don't suppose the lack of global warming had anything to do about that.
It gets better though. As Monbiot claims the paradox, as the world warms, it cools. A new study as reported in NewsRx Health & Science, on arctic ice melt from UBC claims the paradox, that global warming could be causing arctic ice to melt even though gradual warming is not.
From the article "Climate Change; Greenland ice sheet flow driven by short-term weather extremes, not gradual warming."
Now a new study, to be published in the journal Nature, shows that a steady meltwater supply from gradual warming may in fact slow down glacier flow, while sudden water input could cause glaciers to speed up and spread, resulting in increased melt.
"This certainly doesn't mitigate the issue of global warming, but it does mean that we need to expand our understanding of what's behind the massive ice loss we're worried about," says Schoof.
You'll notice of course, that as variables and systems and models prove themselves to be the opposite of what was proposed only years before, the constant, that global warming is eminent, is never in doubt. Yes, the "experts can give the North Pole a 50/50 chance of being ice free by 2008" and when such silliness is found out, these same folks move onto the next narrative, for the next year, then expect that no one notices that up is down again.