by the Left Coast Rebel
I don't have more information on the following polling information carried over at Townhall other than it is "brand new" and from Public Opinion Strategies. Either way it shows Assemblyman Van Tran has moved up (perhaps from the "Vietnamese are coming" Sanchez gaffe) since the last poll was taken on the race.
No wonder national Democrats opted to send out 'big guns' Bill Clinton to stump for Loretta Sanchez on Friday. And it is quite telling that the Sanchez/Clinton event attracted only a thousand or so folks - including union members, a few Van Tran supporters, Secret Service and a huge press presence.
Van Tran is tied with Loretta Sanchez on the ballot test. Fully 39% of likely voters say they are supporting Van Tran, while 39% are backing Sanchez and 5% siding with Ceci Iglesias (17% undecided). Moreover, Tran’s definite support level is higher than that of Congresswoman Sanchez (30% definitely voting for Tran – 28% definitely voting for Sanchez).
- While there are certainly solid ethnic coalitions in this race – Asian and Vietnamese voters siding with Tran, Latinos favoring Sanchez – Tran enjoys a commanding 34-point lead with White voters in the district (60% Tran – 26% Sanchez).
- Van Tran also polls strongly with Independent voters (42% Tran – 28% Sanchez) and older voters (50% Tran – 30% Sanchez) – two groups that are likely going to determine the victor here.
- Van Tran has a commanding 22-point lead over Sanchez (52% - 30%) among voters who say they are “extremely interested” in the upcoming elections (rate their interest a “10”on a one-to-ten scale). Among a broader high interest segment of the electorate – the “8-10s” – Tran is up eight points (44% - 38%).
Please donate to Van Tran's campaign here.
Updated: Cal State Fullerton's Daily Titan has the Clinton/Sanchez rally numbers at "over 500."