Quietly: NY Senate race goes into play as Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand maintains small lead over Joe DioGuardi

By Sam Foster
H/T to Lonely Conservative

Not one, but two polls are out showing the Gillibrand/DioGuardi race has dramatically tightened and Kirsten Gillibrand, known by Senate Democrats as "the Hottest," is now looking vulnerable.

First, a poll by Survey USA shows Gillibrand leading by only a single point:

Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand and former Congressman Republican Joe DioGuardi today finish effectively even, Gillibrand's nominal 1-point lead being within the survey's theoretical margin of sampling error. Gillibrand leads in the 5 boroughs of NYC, trails elsewhere. Men vote Republican, women vote Democrat and, in this contest, cancel each other out. Lower-income voters break significantly Democrat. Middle-income and upper-income voters break slightly Republican.

Today's Q-Poll has Gillibrand under 50% (aka she's in the "Danger Zone") and leading by only six points:

In numbers very similar to the ones released yesterday on the governor's race, Quinnipiac University's data out this morning shows Democratic Sen. Kristen Gillibrand leading barely-known GOP rival Joe DioGuardi by just six points.

Gillibrand leads 48 percent to 42 eprcent, and the pair is split basically evenly among independent voters, the survey found.

Gillibrand wins among DEmocrats, 86 percent to 9 percent, and DioGuardi has 88 percent of Republicans to 8 percent of independents.

This compares to a 15 point lead in the Q-Poll less then a month ago.  I'm not sure what's gotten into the water in NY, but for Conservative voters it may be the smell of blood.  It is interesting though, thanks to previous polling NY was not considered in play.  Now that the polls flip, how long will it take for folks to catch on?

1 comment:

  1. DioGuardi is NOT the conservative, frugal, clean-as-a-whistle Tea Party candidate that he pretends to be. He has some VERY unsavory connections:

    http://1389blog.com/2010/09/24/far-worse-than-a-mere-rino/

    ReplyDelete

Commenting here is a privilege, not a right. Comments that contain cursing or insults and those failing to add to the discussion will be summarily deleted.